Robert Scoble’s List of Hot Startups to Watch in 2010: Part I

I’m watching hundreds of startups, have at least one list of them over on Twitter (500 startups are on that one) and will be starting other lists in 2010 but I’ve been watching the trends on Twitter of what people are talking about and here are 25 startups to watch.

Why?

Because they are the best of breed examples of trends that are bigger than them. Is this list complete? No way, but it gives you a good starting point on some companies who you should be trying out and watching.

I have 15 other companies that I’ll be posting over the weekend, please let me know if you have any companies you are watching and we can watch them together.

Start-Up IPOs Go Elsewhere

Not many Silicon Valley companies have gone public in recent years. And as 2009 draws to a close, the past 12 months have followed the same lackluster pattern.

Through early this week, eight venture-capital-backed companies had gone public in 2009, according to research firm VentureSource. (VentureSource is owned by News Corp., which also owns Dow Jones & Co., publisher of The Wall Street Journal.) That was better than 2008, when seven venture-backed companies had IPOs.

[IPO buffet]

But of the 2009 venture-backed IPOs, just two were locally based, notes VentureSource: San Francisco online reservations company OpenTable Inc. and security-technology company Fortinet Inc. in Sunnyvale.

Still, OpenTable Chief Financial Officer Matt Roberts doesn’t expect the drought of local IPOs to last. Other Silicon Valley start-ups have been talking to OpenTable about the IPO process recently, he notes.

Maynard Webb, chief executive of contact-center software company LiveOps Inc. in Santa Clara, says he has talked to OpenTable about the IPO process and gleaned “a lot of learnings.” While LiveOps isn’t anticipating it will go public imminently, it is preparing to do so down the line.

“The window to go public didn’t look so good 18 months ago, but in the last six months, we’ve been way more encouraged,” says Mr. Webb.

How much seed money should I raise? – Venture Hacks

Chris Dixon, serial entrepreneur and seed-stage investor:

“… You should try to answer the question: what is the biggest risk your startup is facing in the upcoming year and how can you eliminate that risk?  You should come up with your own answer but you should also talk to lots of smart people to get their take (yet another reason not to keep your idea secret).

“For consumer internet companies, eliminating the biggest risk almost always means getting ‘traction’ — user growth, engagement, etc. Traction is also what you want if you are targeting SMBs (small/medium businesses). For online advertising companies you probably want revenues. If you are selling to enterprises you probably want to have a handful of credible beta customers.

The biggest mistake founders make is thinking that building a product by itself will be perceived as an accretive milestone [emphasis added]. Building a product is only accretive in cases where there is significant technical risk — e.g. you are building a new search engine or semiconductor.”

Read the rest of Chris’ What’s the right amount of seed money to raise? Also see our post, How do we set the valuation for a seed round?

If I had to stuff my answer to this question into one sentence, I would say: “As much as possible while keeping your dilution under 20%, preferably under 15%, and, even better, under 10%.” Raising as much as possible is especially wise for founders who aren’t experienced at developing and executing operating plans.

This is quite near and dear to my heart at the moment. I think the Venture Hacks summary in their post is quite true, as much as you can without diluting too much.